Polish state news agency PAP reported that the speculations hinge on the evident preservation of AS-23 air-to-air missiles, potentially reserved for forthcoming winter operations.
Since September 21, a lapse of 21 days, Russian Long Range Air Force (DA) has abstained from launching attacks on Ukraine. The British intelligence report indicates, "This time, it is likely that the Russian DA is saving its existing stockpile of AS-23 missiles, and using this pause to increase its usable stockpile in anticipation of further heavy attacks on Ukraine during the winter."
The British intelligence also highlights a parallel to a previous pause this year from March 28 to April 9, a 51-day intermission in the usage of long-range aviation bombers against Ukraine. The hiatus was attributed to a depletion of Russian missile ammunition following rigorous winter combat.
The recent Russian military strategy has pivoted towards utilizing Iranian-made unmanned Shahed drones, particularly targeting Ukraine's industrial zones in the southern Odessa region.
Noteworthy attacks have impaired grain and port infrastructures, with the employment of Shahed drones, ostensibly due to their enhanced precision, especially relevant for areas in close proximity to the Romanian border, PAP reported.
(jh)
Source: PAP, IAR