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Russian forces unable to 'translate tactical gains into operational successes' in Ukraine's east: analysis

22.08.2022 11:30
Russian forces have failed to capitalize on their prior gains in eastern Ukraine, demonstrating an "inability to translate tactical gains into operational successes" in their ongoing assault on the strategic cities of Bakhmut and Avdiivka, according to an analysis published by the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), a US think tank.
A residential building damaged by Russian shelling in Voznesensk, southern Ukraine, August 20, 2022.
A residential building damaged by Russian shelling in Voznesensk, southern Ukraine, August 20, 2022.Photo: EPA/Mykolaiv Region Prosecutor's Office via PAP

"Russian forces’ failure to capitalize on prior gains around Bakhmut and Avdiivka is an example of a more fundamental Russian military problem—the demonstrated inability to translate tactical gains into operational successes," the ISW said in its latest analysis of the war in Ukraine.

It added that Russian forces "have consistently failed to take advantage of tactical breakthroughs to maneuver into Ukrainian rear areas or unhinge significant parts of the Ukrainian defensive lines."

According to the US think tank, the Russians "therefore continually give the Ukrainians time to disengage tactically and re-establish defensible positions against which the Russians must then launch new deliberate attacks."

This "helps explain the extremely slow rate of Russian advances in the east and strongly suggests that the Russians will be unable to take much more ground in the coming months unless the situation develops in unforeseen ways," according to the ISW.

It reported that "Russian forces’ momentum from territorial gains around Bakhmut and Avdiivka in late July is likely exhausted, and Russian attacks in eastern Ukraine are likely culminating although very small Russian advances will likely continue."

Monday is day 180 of Russia's war on Ukraine.

(gs)

Source: IAR, PAP, understandingwar.org