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German election results impact currency markets: Euro strengthens against the dollar

24.02.2025 13:55
Recent parliamentary elections in Germany have influenced both the Polish złoty and the euro’s exchange rate against the U.S. dollar.
Chairman of Germanys Christian Democratic Union (CDU) Friedrich Merz reacts as the shadow of State Premier of Bavaria and Christian Social Union (CSU) chairman Markus Soeder is seen at the background during the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) election event in Berlin, Germany, 23 February 2025.
Chairman of Germany's Christian Democratic Union (CDU) Friedrich Merz reacts as the shadow of State Premier of Bavaria and Christian Social Union (CSU) chairman Markus Soeder is seen at the background during the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) election event in Berlin, Germany, 23 February 2025.Photo: HANNIBAL HANSCHKE/PAP/EPA

How did investors react to the results? According to the Polish daily Rzeczpospolita, the euro reached its strongest level in a month against the dollar, while Frankfurt's stock exchange opened on a positive note.

Germany's benchmark stock index, the DAX, rose 0.7% at the start of Monday's session.

Meanwhile, France’s CAC 40 fell by 0.3%, Italy’s FTSE MIB gained 0.5%, and Poland’s WIG 20 dropped 1%. The euro strengthened to nearly a one-month high against the dollar, reaching $1.052 per euro on Monday morning.

Election results: A shift in German politics

The center-right CDU/CSU bloc emerged as the winner of Sunday’s elections, securing 28.5% of the vote and 208 parliamentary seats. Party leader Friedrich Merz is now the frontrunner to become Germany’s next chancellor - provided he can form a coalition government.

The far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) came in second with 20.8% of the vote and 152 seats, but the CDU/CSU has stated it will not form a coalition with them.

Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s center-left SPD suffered its worst postwar election result, finishing third with 16.4% of the vote and 120 seats. The Green Party won 11.6% (85 seats), while the far-left Die Linke took 8.8% (64 seats).

The liberal FDP failed to pass the threshold to enter parliament, receiving only 4.3% of the vote.

The most likely outcome is a CDU/CSU coalition with the defeated SPD, but the final government formation remains uncertain.

Friedrich Merz announced that his first foreign trip will include both France and Poland - visiting Paris and Warsaw on the same day to emphasize the importance of Germany’s relations with both countries.

Source: Rzeczpospolita/rp.pl/PAP/X/@Germany_Kolkata

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